China’s Debt Trap: A Critical Analysis of President Muizzu’s Role

 

The Republic of Maldives, a tiny jewel in the Indian Ocean, is catching the global eye due to its growing bonds with China. Worries linger as experts fear the Maldives might be slipping into a Chinese debt trap, echoing the concerns raised in Sri Lanka and Pakistan. This article meticulously explores the current state in the Maldives, critically analyzes President Mohamed Muizzu’s influence, and sheds light on the potential fallout from the nation’s deepening ties with China.

The Maldives and China: A Brief Rundown:

Diplomatic ties between the Maldives and China took root in 1972, characterized by an overall friendly relationship. However, under Abdulla Yameen’s presidency (2013-2018), a pivotal shift towards China occurred, marked by the Maldives’ embrace of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). This move was perceived as a departure from the Maldives’ traditional ally, India.

President Mohamed Muizzu: Aligning with China:

Since securing victory in the 2018 presidential election, President Mohamed Muizzu has consistently strengthened the Maldives’ ties with China. His inaugural visit to Beijing in January 2024 resulted in the signing of several agreements spanning climate, agriculture, and infrastructure. This visit followed a campaign where Muizzu portrayed India as a threat to the Maldives’ sovereignty, solidifying the “India Out” policy central to his campaign.

 

 

 

The “India Out” Campaign and Its Far-reaching Effects:

Gaining momentum during the 2023 presidential election, the “India Out” campaign played a pivotal role in the Maldives’ pivot towards China. Advocating for the removal of Indian military personnel and equipment from the Maldives, the campaign argued that their presence jeopardized the country’s sovereignty. However, this anti-India sentiment strained the Maldives’ longstanding relationship with India.

China’s Debt Trap Diplomacy and its Echo in the Maldives:

China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has faced criticism for its “debt trap diplomacy,” enticing countries into accepting substantial loans for infrastructure projects beyond their repayment capabilities. This has led to allegations that China exploits these loans for political leverage and control over recipient nations.

In the Maldives’ case, the country has borrowed hundreds of millions of dollars from China for various infrastructure projects. Critics warn that the escalating debt could mirror the Sri Lankan scenario, where the country leased a crucial port to China for 99 years to settle its debts.

 

Conclusion: Navigating Challenges Ahead:

The deepening relationship between the Maldives and China, under President Mohamed Muizzu’s guidance, raises significant concerns about the nation’s vulnerability to China’s debt trap diplomacy. The “India Out” campaign and the ensuing strain with India further complicate the situation. As we look ahead, uncertainties loom, questioning the Maldives’ ability to navigate these challenges without succumbing to China’s debt trap, potentially jeopardizing the nation’s sovereignty and economic independence.